Pablo Carreno Busta vs Arthur CazauxMalaga CH Round of 32

Malaga CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#65ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
35 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#98ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWWLW
Carreno Busta P.
2-6 6-4 6-3
Cazaux A.
Carreno Busta P.
2662
Cazaux A.
6431

Pablo Carreno Busta defeated Arthur Cazaux 2-6 6-4 6-3 in the Malaga CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Pablo Carreno Busta came in ranked #65. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQ2hardPablo Carreno Busta5-3 RET
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardArthur Cazaux6-1 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Cazaux A.
21
Serve
40
44
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
3.4
7.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (122 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
61
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+6 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1738
4.6Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1793
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
8.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
8.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Carreno Busta P.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast