Pablo Carreno Busta vs Arthur CazauxBrisbane Qualifying Round 2

Brisbane · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#71ATP
1801ELO
1744Hard ELO
$641kYTD
$18MCAREER
34 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWW
0 — 0
Sets
Retired
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#78ATP
1793ELO
1738Hard ELO
$46kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Carreno Busta P.
5-3
Cazaux A.
Carreno Busta P.
51
Cazaux A.
3

Pablo Carreno Busta advanced when Arthur Cazaux retired 5-3 in the Brisbane qualifying round 2. Pablo Carreno Busta extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneQ2hardPablo Carreno Busta5-3 RET
2024-08-26US OpenR128hardArthur Cazaux6-1 6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Carreno Busta P.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Cazaux A.

Cazaux A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Carreno Busta P.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Carreno Busta P.Cazaux A.
21
Serve
40
44
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
53%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.6
8.3
Double faults / match·Even
1.4
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
78
65
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Dominant
61
27
Deciding sets·Slight edge
80
87
Tiebreaks·Dominant
95
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
4.8+6 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1738
4.6Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1793
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.4
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Carreno Busta P.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast