Leylah Fernandez vs Mirra AndreevaHong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong · WTA · Round of 16
#24WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 October 2023
hard
#5WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.4MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
Fernandez L.
3-6 6-1 6-3
Andreeva M.
Fernandez L.
3662
Andreeva M.
6131

Leylah Fernandez defeated Mirra Andreeva 3-6 6-1 6-3 in the Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Mirra Andreeva came in ranked #5, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Leylah Fernandez had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Leylah Fernandez claimed a first win over Mirra Andreeva in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-21MadridQFclayMirra Andreeva7-6(1) 6-3
2023-04-24MadridR128clayMirra Andreeva6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Fernandez L.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Andreeva M.

Andreeva M.serving79% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Serve advantage — Andreeva M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fernandez L.Andreeva M.
60
Serve
46
27
Return
96

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
60%
Return points won·Even
43%
46%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.6
2.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (192 vs 167). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
94
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Slight edge
95
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
90
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1785
Surface ELO
7.0+209 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1805
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 2074
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.4
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
98
92

Fernandez L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Andreeva M.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast