Roman Safiullin vs Alexander ZverevShanghai Masters Round of 64

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#132ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
Safiullin R.
6-3 6-1
Zverev A.
Safiullin R.
662
Zverev A.
310

Roman Safiullin defeated Alexander Zverev 6-3 6-1 in the Shanghai Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 2–0, but Roman Safiullin had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Alexander Zverev in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-20ChengduFhardAlexander Zverev6-7(2) 7-6(5) 6-3
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Safiullin R.Zverev A.
Serve
71
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
69%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
94
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Dominant
44
90
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
99
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1704
Surface ELO
9.0+338 Hard Elo edge
1.1Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
8.9Overall Elo 2100
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
8.6
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.8
Minutes 14d
0.0
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
6.1
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
52

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 103 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%