Alexander Zverev vs Roman SafiullinChengdu Final

Chengdu · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 20 September 2023
hard
#96ATP
1750ELO
1704Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Zverev A.
6-7 7-6 6-3
Safiullin R.
Zverev A.
627762
Safiullin R.
776531

Alexander Zverev defeated Roman Safiullin 6-7 7-6 6-3 in the Chengdu final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #2. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersR64hardRoman Safiullin6-3 6-1
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR64clayAlexander Zverev7-6(4) 6-3 7-6(1)

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Safiullin R.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Safiullin R.
71
Serve
42
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.5
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 180). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
68
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
90
44
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
100
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 37 days (−0.7)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 30 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
9.0+338 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.0Hard Elo 1704
8.9Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
1.1Overall Elo 1750
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.6
Surface form
3.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
39
78

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d) · Safiullin R.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast