Andrey Rublev vs Adrian MannarinoShanghai Masters Round of 32

Shanghai Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 October 2023
hard
#40ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Rublev A.
6-3 6-0
Mannarino A.
Rublev A.
662
Mannarino A.
300

Andrey Rublev defeated Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-0 in the Shanghai Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–1. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassAndrey Rublev7-5 6-2 6-3
2022-10-03AstanaQFhardAndrey Rublev6-1 6-2
2021-10-18MoscowR16hardAdrian Mannarino5-7 7-6(4) 6-3
2019-10-14MoscowFhardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Mannarino A.
55
Serve
37
52
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
65
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Slight edge
72
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+201 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1647
7.8Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1673
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.6
Surface form
10.0
0.0
Win streak
9.07-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
4.4
4.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
69

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mannarino A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 51%