Emma Navarro vs Madison KeysGuadalajara Round of 32

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 32
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#23WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Navarro E.
6-2 7-6
Keys M.
Navarro E.
6772
Keys M.
2650

Emma Navarro defeated Madison Keys 6-2 7-6 in the Guadalajara round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 32, but Emma Navarro had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Emma Navarro extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Emma Navarro closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–6.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR32clayEmma Navarro7-6(5) 7-6(3)
2023-04-03CharlestonR64clayMadison Keys6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Keys M.
43
Serve
36
42
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Even
46%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
94
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
96
Break points won·Slight edge
99
90
Deciding sets·Even
93
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
87
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1764
Surface ELO
7.3+157 Hard Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1866
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.6
Surface form
3.9
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
87

Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Keys M.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw