Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres BurruchagaAntofagasta CH Semi-final

Antofagasta CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
clay
#65ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-4 6-4
Burruchaga R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Burruchaga R.
440

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-4 6-4 in the Antofagasta CH semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Roman Andres Burruchaga in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroR32clayRoman Andres Burruchaga6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Burruchaga R.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
41%
43%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
68
Break points won·Slight edge
62
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1694
5.0Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1711
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
1.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.3
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
97
91

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Burruchaga R.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast