Emma Navarro vs Leylah FernandezCincinnati Qualifying Round 1

Cincinnati · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#25WTA
1805ELO
1785Hard ELO
$787kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
23 yrs · 168 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
Navarro E.
6-4 2-6 6-4
Fernandez L.
Navarro E.
6262
Fernandez L.
4641

Emma Navarro defeated Leylah Fernandez 6-4 2-6 6-4 in the Cincinnati qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Leylah Fernandez came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 3–0. Emma Navarro claimed a first win over Leylah Fernandez in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Emma Navarro closed it out in three sets, 6–4 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-09DohaR32hardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-2
2023-09-18GuadalajaraR16hardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian WellsR64hardLeylah Fernandez6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Navarro E.serving61% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Fernandez L.

Fernandez L.serving56% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navarro E.Fernandez L.
43
Serve
60
42
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.8
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
87
Break points saved·Slight edge
88
95
Break points won·Even
99
95
Deciding sets·Even
93
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
87
75

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
100

Navarro E.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Fernandez L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast