Jasmine Paolini vs Cristina BucsaCincinnati Round of 32

Cincinnati · WTA · Round of 32
#17WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#35WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWWWW
Paolini J.
6-1 6-3
Bucsa C.
Paolini J.
662
Bucsa C.
130

Jasmine Paolini defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-1 6-3 in the Cincinnati round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17. Jasmine Paolini claimed a first win over Cristina Bucsa in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23MeridaSFhardCristina Bucsa7-5 6-4
2024-01-08AdelaideR32hardCristina Bucsa6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Bucsa C.

Bucsa C.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Bucsa C.
31
Serve
22
55
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
45%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Even
1.4
1.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
60
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
79
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
68
Tiebreaks·Dominant
93
27

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+163 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1710
7.2Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1722
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.3
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 92%

Draw