Mattia Bellucci vs Gabriel DialloWinnipeg CH Round of 16

Winnipeg CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 August 2023
hard
#93ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
Bellucci M.
6-2 6-3
Diallo G.
Bellucci M.
662
Diallo G.
230

Mattia Bellucci defeated Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-3 in the Winnipeg CH round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Mattia Bellucci claimed a first win over Gabriel Diallo in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR128hardGabriel Diallo7-6(5) 6-4
2025-02-24AcapulcoQ2hardGabriel Diallo6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Diallo G.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Diallo G.
0
Serve
38
40
Return
14

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.2
8.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
60
64
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Clear edge
10
24
Deciding sets·Slight edge
81
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
68

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
5.4+0 Hard Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1716
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.9
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.4
Minutes 14d
6.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
89

Bellucci M.: 21 days rest · Diallo G.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast