Gabriel Diallo vs Mattia BellucciIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#88ATP
1716ELO
1678Hard ELO
$480kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
Diallo G.
7-6 6-4
Bellucci M.
Diallo G.
7762
Bellucci M.
6540

Gabriel Diallo defeated Mattia Bellucci 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Gabriel Diallo came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Gabriel Diallo extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-02-24AcapulcoQ2hardGabriel Diallo6-1 6-0

Serve vs return

This season
Diallo G.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Bellucci M.serving89% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Diallo G.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Diallo G.Bellucci M.
38
Serve
0
14
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.3
4.8
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
64
60
Break points saved·Even
96
96
Break points won·Clear edge
24
10
Deciding sets·Slight edge
87
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
68
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+0 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1678
5.7Overall Elo 1716
ELO gap
4.3Overall Elo 1720
3.9
H2H
6.1
2.5
Surface form
5.0
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
100

Diallo G.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Bellucci M.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%