Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Andrey RublevCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 7 August 2023
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Mcdonald M.
6-4 6-3
Rublev A.
Mcdonald M.
662
Rublev A.
430

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Andrey Rublev 6-4 6-3 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's round of 32. Mackenzie Mcdonald extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-02-21DubaiQFhardAndrey Rublev2-6 6-3 6-1
2019-01-14Australian OpenR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Rublev A.
25
Serve
55
10
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
66%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
88
Break points saved·Even
96
100
Break points won·Slight edge
66
72
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.3Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
7.7+244 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
6.8
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
89
94

Mcdonald M.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d) · Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°CPartly cloudy
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 80%