Andrey Rublev vs Mackenzie McdonaldDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 February 2022
hard
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Rublev A.
2-6 6-3 6-1
Mcdonald M.
Rublev A.
2662
Mcdonald M.
6311

Andrey Rublev defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-3 6-1 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's semi-final. Andrey Rublev claimed a first win over Mackenzie Mcdonald in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-07Canada MastersR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-3
2019-01-14Australian OpenR128hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Mcdonald M.
55
Serve
25
52
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
67%
63%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
56
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Slight edge
72
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
92
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.7+244 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.3Hard Elo 1604
8.1Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 1606
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.0
Surface form
4.0
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
87

Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
25°COvercast
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 63%