Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Timofey SkatovLuedenscheid CH Round of 16

Luedenscheid CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
clay
#172ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWLLLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-3 5-7 7-6
Skatov T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
65772
Skatov T.
37651

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Timofey Skatov 6-3 5-7 7-6 in the Luedenscheid CH round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30MarrakechR32clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-7(2) 6-3 6-4
2023-02-13Buenos AiresQ1clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Skatov T.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
51%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Even
2.7
2.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
31
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Dominant
62
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
31
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+210 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1531
7.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1544
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.3
Surface form
5.5
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.2
Minutes 14d
6.0
3-set count
4.0
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast