Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Timofey SkatovMarrakech Round of 32

Marrakech · ATP · Round of 32
#59ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#172ATP
1544ELO
1531Clay ELO
$107kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-7 6-3 6-4
Skatov T.
Ugo Carabelli C.
62662
Skatov T.
77341

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Timofey Skatov 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Marrakech round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #59, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Camilo Ugo Carabelli extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13Buenos AiresQ1clayCamilo Ugo Carabelli6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Skatov T.

Skatov T.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Skatov T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Skatov T.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
62%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
78
31
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
81
Break points won·Dominant
62
27
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
31
Tiebreaks·Dominant
72
35

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.8+210 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.2Clay Elo 1531
7.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1544
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.0
Surface form
2.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
9.1
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
97
82

Ugo Carabelli C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Skatov T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast