Andrey Rublev vs Casper RuudBastad Final

Bastad · ATP · Final
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
#12ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Rublev A.
7-6 6-0
Ruud C.
Rublev A.
7762
Ruud C.
6300

Andrey Rublev defeated Casper Ruud 7-6 6-0 in the Bastad final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, defending last year's round of 16. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

43
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud6-4 5-7 6-2
2022-11-14Tour FinalsSFhardCasper Ruud6-2 6-4
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud2-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersSFclayAndrey Rublev6-3 7-5
2021-02-08Australian OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-2 7-6(3) 0-0 RET
2020-09-21HamburgSFclayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2019-07-22HamburgR16clayAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rublev A.Ruud C.
14
Serve
54
62
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.5
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Even
72
75
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1872
Surface ELO
6.1+101 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1983
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
7.7
Fatigue & Travel
1.2
Minutes 14d
6.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
6.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
97

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Ruud C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 23 km/hHumidity 90%