Casper Ruud vs Andrey RublevTour Finals Semi-final

Tour Finals · ATP · Semi-final
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 November 2022
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Ruud C.
6-2 6-4
Rublev A.
Ruud C.
662
Rublev A.
240

Casper Ruud defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-4 in the Tour Finals semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, defending last year's semi-final. Casper Ruud narrowed the head-to-head to 5–3.

Key context

Head to head

25
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-11-11Tour FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud6-4 5-7 6-2
2023-07-17BastadFclayAndrey Rublev7-6(3) 6-0
2021-11-15Tour FinalsRRhardCasper Ruud2-6 7-5 7-6(5)
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersSFclayAndrey Rublev6-3 7-5
2021-02-08Australian OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-2 7-6(3) 0-0 RET
2020-09-21HamburgSFclayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-2
2019-07-22HamburgR16clayAndrey Rublev3-6 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Rublev A.
59
Serve
55
31
Return
49

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.7
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Even
75
72
Deciding sets·Even
99
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
97
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+40 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1849
5.6Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1902
5.4
H2H
4.6
4.7
Surface form
7.4
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Ruud C.: 15 days rest · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast