Lorenzo Musetti vs Juan Pablo VarillasWimbledon Round of 128

Wimbledon · ATP · Round of 128
#15ATP
1869ELO
1750Grass ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
3 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 July 2023
grass
#308ATP
1440ELO
1348Grass ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Musetti L.
6-3 6-1 7-5
Varillas J.
Musetti L.
6673
Varillas J.
3150

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 6-3 6-1 7-5 in the Wimbledon round of 128 on grass. The result followed the form book — Lorenzo Musetti came in ranked #15, defending last year's round of 128. Lorenzo Musetti claimed a first win over Juan Pablo Varillas in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Lorenzo Musetti came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–3 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-13Buenos AiresQFclayJuan Pablo Varillas6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Musetti L.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
59%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
3.7
Double faults / match·Even
2.1
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
89
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Dominant
82
43
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
63
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
95
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.1
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
10.0+402 Grass Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Grass Elo 1348
10.0Overall Elo 1869
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1440
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
49

Varillas J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
18°CDrizzle
Wind 27 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
Barrios Vera T.[20]
Baez S.
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Choinski J.
Lajovic D.
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Djere L.
Cressy M.
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Vesely J.
Korda S.[22]
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Raonic M.
Novak D.
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Safiullin R.
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2-67-676-746-47-5
Bublik A.[10]
Mcdonald M.
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Muller A.
Rinderknech A.[25]
7-651-66-36-4
Kubler J.
Humbert U.[27]
6-44-66-23-66-3
Zverev A.[2]
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6-47-647-65
De Minaur A.[5]
Coppejans K.
6-756-36-37-62
Dimitrov G.
Shimabukuro S.
6-16-26-1
Davidovich Fokina A.[22]
Fils A.[20]
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Carballes Baena R.
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6-706-36-46-4
Medvedev D.[8]
Fery A.
7-56-46-3
Lehecka J.[13]
Ofner S.
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Paul T.[21]
Mochizuki S.
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Norrie C.[26]
Machac T.
6-34-66-16-4
Fritz T.[6]
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6-42-64-67-56-3
Djokovic N.[7]
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6-36-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
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Mayot H.
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Stricker D.
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4-66-26-46-1
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6-755-77-657-636-3
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Tiafoe F.[17]
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Ivashka I.
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7-646-36-2
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Sinner J.[1]
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6-06-36-4
Vukic A.
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Halys Q.
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Galan D.
Nishioka Y.[24]
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Otte O.
Koepfer D.
7-56-37-69
Ymer M.
Molcan A.
6-36-36-4
Pella G.
Coric B.[13]
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Moutet C.
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Shapovalov D.[26]
Albot R.
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Barrere G.
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7-56-747-56-3
Broady L.
Lestienne C.
6-16-37-5
Rublev A.[12]
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6-37-56-4
Karatsev A.
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6-746-46-26-4
Goffin D.
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6-25-76-26-0
Wolf J.
Couacaud E.
7-56-37-64
Marterer M.
Gojo B.
7-56-786-36-4
Mmoh M.
Auger Aliassime F.[3]
7-646-747-646-4
Musetti L.[14]
Varillas J.
6-36-17-5
Munar J.
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4-66-36-46-4
Etcheverry T.[29]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-755-76-36-47-5
Wawrinka S.
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7-57-56-4
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6-16-46-4
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6-36-06-1