Jan Lennard Struff vs Tommy Paul — Stuttgart Round of 16

Stuttgart · ATP · Round of 16
Jan Lennard Struff
GERWC
Jan Lennard Struff
#74ATP
1694ELO
1623Grass ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 12 June 2023
grass
Tommy Paul
USA5
Tommy Paul
#25ATP
1949ELO
1801Grass ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Struff J.
7-6 7-6
Paul T.
Struff J.
77772
Paul T.
64650

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Tommy Paul 7-6 7-6 in the Stuttgart round of 16 on grass. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 4–0. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-3 6-3
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardTommy Paul6-1 7-6(6) 6-2
2021-11-01Paris MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-3 6-4
2021-05-24ParmaQFclayTommy Paul6-2 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Struff J.Paul T.
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.8
6.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Struff J.Paul T.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
61
93
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
21
87
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
98
Tiebreaks·Even
94
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Struff J.
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Paul T.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
3.3Grass Elo 1623
Surface ELO
6.7+178 Grass Elo edge
2.1Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
7.9Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
2.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Struff J.Paul T.
Freshness·Dominant
53
84

Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d) · Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Tiafoe F.[6]
Struff J.
4-67-617-68
Semi-finals
Struff J.
Hurkacz H.[4]
3-66-36-3
Tiafoe F.[6]
Fucsovics M.
6-37-611
Quarter-finals
Fucsovics M.
Fritz T.[2]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[6]
Musetti L.[6]
6-767-646-2
Hurkacz H.[4]
Oconnell C.
6-46-4
Struff J.
Gasquet R.
6-47-5
R16
Oconnell C.
Sonego L.
7-656-3
Fritz T.[2]
Karatsev A.
7-646-3
Gasquet R.
Tsitsipas S.[1]
7-682-67-5
Struff J.
Paul T.[5]
7-647-65
Musetti L.[6]
Barrere G.
6-36-3
Fucsovics M.
Wu Y.
6-44-66-4
Hurkacz H.[4]
Watanuki Y.
4-67-657-65
Tiafoe F.[6]
Lehecka J.[4]
7-626-4
R32
Musetti L.[6]
Gojo B.
7-646-3
Sonego L.
Berrettini M.[7]
6-16-2
Gasquet R.
Eubanks C.
7-626-4
Oconnell C.
Altmaier D.
6-36-1
Paul T.[5]
Bonzi B.
6-36-4
Struff J.
Zhang Z.
6-16-4
Wu Y.
Kyrgios N.[8]
7-56-3
Fucsovics M.
Shapovalov D.
3-66-36-4
Barrere G.
Otte O.
6-46-3
Watanuki Y.
Lopez F.
7-656-3
Lehecka J.[4]
Giron M.
4-66-36-4
Karatsev A.
Moutet C.[8]
7-606-787-5