Tommy Paul vs Jan Lennard StruffIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#74ATP
1694ELO
1634Hard ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Paul T.
6-3 6-3
Struff J.
Paul T.
662
Struff J.
330

Tommy Paul defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-3 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's round of 32. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-06-12StuttgartR16grassJan Lennard Struff7-6(4) 7-6(5)
2023-01-16Australian OpenR128hardTommy Paul6-1 7-6(6) 6-2
2021-11-01Paris MastersR64hardTommy Paul6-3 6-4
2021-05-24ParmaQFclayTommy Paul6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Struff J.
71
Serve
36
54
Return
40

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
39%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.1
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
93
61
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
87
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
68
Tiebreaks·Even
96
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+247 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1634
7.9Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
2.1Overall Elo 1694
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.8
Surface form
7.0
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
Minutes 14d
7.9
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.3
Country comfort
4.8
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
84
53

Paul T.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Struff J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%