Jasmine Paolini vs Taylor TownsendFlorence 125 Final

Florence 125 · CHALLENGER · Final
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 15 May 2023
clay
#79WTA
1826ELO
1732Clay ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWLLW
Paolini J.
6-3 7-5
Townsend T.
Paolini J.
672
Townsend T.
35

Jasmine Paolini defeated Taylor Townsend 6-3 7-5 in the Florence 125 final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-17MiamiR64hardJasmine Paolini6-3 1-6 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving54% hold

wins 52% of points on serve vs Townsend T.

Townsend T.serving59% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
62%
Return points won·Even
45%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
5.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 131). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
72
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
94
Break points won·Dominant
99
55
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
79
Tiebreaks·Even
93
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
97

Paolini J.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Townsend T.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast