Holger Rune vs Casper RuudRome Masters Semi-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#81ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#13ATP
1983ELO
1973Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Rune H.
6-7 6-4 6-2
Ruud C.
Rune H.
62662
Ruud C.
77421

Holger Rune defeated Casper Ruud 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Rome Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 6–1, defending last year's semi-final. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

16
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-14BarcelonaQFclayHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2024-02-26AcapulcoSFhardCasper Ruud3-6 6-3 6-4
2023-05-29Roland GarrosQFclayCasper Ruud6-1 6-2 3-6 6-3
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQFclayCasper Ruud6-1 4-6 7-6(2) 6-3
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersR32clayCasper Ruud7-6(5) 7-5
2021-07-12BastadR16clayCasper Ruud6-0 6-2
2021-04-12Monte Carlo MastersR64clayCasper Ruud6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rune H.Ruud C.
Serve
54
Return
69

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
67%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
5.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Slight edge
84
75
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
7.3+244 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1983
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.8
Surface form
6.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
9.1
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
8.5

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%
Semi-finals
Medvedev D.[3]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
7-57-5
Rune H.[7]
Ruud C.[4]
6-726-46-2