Anhelina Kalinina vs Madison Keys — Rome Round of 16

Rome · WTA · Round of 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UKRQ
Anhelina Kalinina
#66WTA
1827ELO
1806Clay ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
Madison Keys
USA19
Madison Keys
#22WTA
1987ELO
1894Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Kalinina A.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Keys M.
Kalinina A.
2662
Keys M.
6241

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Madison Keys 2-6 6-2 6-4 in the Rome round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 64. Anhelina Kalinina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

2–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassMadison Keys7-6(5) 6-1
2022-05-09RomeR64clayAnhelina Kalinina6-4 6-4
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardAnhelina Kalinina3-6 6-3 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Kalinina A.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.7
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 153). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kalinina A.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
96
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kalinina A.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Keys M.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1806
Surface ELO
5.9+88 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1987
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kalinina A.Keys M.
Freshness·Clear edge
95
77

Kalinina A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Keys M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw

Final
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinina A.[30]
6-41-0
Semi-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Ostapenko J.[20]
6-26-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Kudermetova V.[11]
7-55-76-2
Quarter-finals
Rybakina E.[7]
Swiatek I.[1]
2-67-632-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Zheng Q.[22]
3-66-36-4
Kalinina A.[30]
Haddad Maia B.[12]
6-727-666-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Badosa P.
6-24-66-3
R16
Kalinina A.[30]
Keys M.[19]
2-66-26-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Vekic D.[21]
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[22]
Wang X.
6-43-66-1
Badosa P.
Muchova K.
6-46-746-2
Kudermetova V.[11]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-26-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Osorio C.
6-36-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Kasatkina D.[8]
6-44-66-0
Rybakina E.[7]
Vondrousova M.
6-36-3
R32
Vondrousova M.
Sakkari M.[9]
7-56-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Bondar A.
7-626-4
Wang X.
Townsend T.
6-20-67-5
Osorio C.
Garcia C.[5]
6-46-4
Keys M.[19]
Azarenka V.[14]
W/O
Kalinina A.[30]
Kenin S.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[8]
Grabher J.
7-54-67-62
Rybakina E.[7]
Kalinskaya A.
4-3
Bouzkova M.[27]
Gauff C.[6]
4-66-26-2
Muchova K.
Giorgi C.
7-646-2
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Linette M.[17]
7-56-4
Swiatek I.[1]
Tsurenko L.
6-26-0
Vekic D.[21]
Samsonova L.[16]
2-67-656-2
Badosa P.
Kostyuk M.[32]
6-46-2
Ostapenko J.[20]
Krejcikova B.[10]
7-626-0
Kudermetova V.[11]
Potapova A.[23]
7-53-66-1
R64
Vondrousova M.
Andreescu B.[24]
6-06-1
Kalinskaya A.
Mertens E.[25]
6-44-66-3
Rybakina E.[7]
Paolini J.
7-646-1
Badosa P.
Jabeur O.[4]
6-16-4
Krejcikova B.[10]
Kovinic D.
6-24-1
Kasatkina D.[8]
Pigato L.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[6]
Putintseva Y.
6-06-1
Potapova A.[23]
Cocciaretto E.
6-46-4
Azarenka V.[14]
Stephens S.
6-46-3
Ostapenko J.[20]
Cirstea S.
6-33-66-2
Tsurenko L.
Pera B.[28]
6-46-4
Townsend T.
Pegula J.[3]
6-23-66-3
Swiatek I.[1]
Pavlyuchenkova A.
6-06-0
Vekic D.[21]
Sasnovich A.
3-66-36-3
Samsonova L.[16]
Kontaveit A.
6-36-3
Sakkari M.[9]
Strycova B.
6-16-3
Kostyuk M.[32]
Liu C.
6-06-4
Muchova K.
Trevisan M.[18]
3-66-37-5
Giorgi C.
Alexandrova E.[15]
6-46-2
Grabher J.
Teichmann J.[26]
7-645-76-3
Zheng Q.[22]
Cornet A.
6-37-62
Garcia C.[5]
Bogdan A.
6-43-67-5
Osorio C.
Martic P.[29]
6-46-2
Linette M.[17]
Noskova L.
7-646-1
Haddad Maia B.[12]
Ruse E.
6-26-3
Keys M.[19]
Frech M.
6-36-2
Kalinina A.[30]
Blinkova A.
6-26-2
Kenin S.
Sabalenka A.[2]
7-646-2
Wang X.
Begu I.[31]
6-47-5
Kudermetova V.[11]
Parrizas Diaz N.
7-56-2
Bondar A.
Pliskova K.[13]
7-656-2
Bouzkova M.[27]
Mcnally C.
6-46-3
R128
Vondrousova M.
Kanepi K.
6-04-66-2
Paolini J.
Wang X.
6-46-736-2
Strycova B.
Zanevska M.
6-13-66-3
Wang X.
Stefanini L.
7-627-62
Kovinic D.
Bronzetti L.
6-33-66-3
Sasnovich A.
Fernandez L.
7-644-66-3
Kontaveit A.
Parks A.
6-16-1
Badosa P.
Friedsam A.
4-66-27-62
Liu C.
Rosatello C.
6-796-26-2
Muchova K.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-5
Giorgi C.
Rus A.
4-66-26-3
Cirstea S.
Volynets K.
2-66-36-4
Cocciaretto E.
Davis L.
6-36-0
Parrizas Diaz N.
Niemeier J.
4-66-46-2
Cornet A.
Martincova T.
7-626-4
Townsend T.
Bonaventure Y.
4-66-17-5
Osorio C.
Gracheva V.
7-641-67-64
Ruse E.
Fruhvirtova L.
6-16-0
Frech M.
Paoletti M.
4-66-27-5
Blinkova A.
Sherif M.
2-66-26-3
Kenin S.
Bucsa C.
6-36-787-5
Tsurenko L.
Svitolina E.
6-46-3
Stephens S.
Podoroska N.
6-46-1
Grabher J.
Brancaccio N.
6-43-66-2
Mcnally C.
Spiteri D.
6-06-1
Bondar A.
Maria T.
6-46-1
Pigato L.
Cherubini D.
7-52-66-3
Putintseva Y.
Tomova V.
6-757-636-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Errani S.
6-16-1
Noskova L.
Rogers S.
4-66-16-4
Kalinskaya A.
Yastremska D.
6-46-2
Bogdan A.
Hibino N.
7-56-0