Anhelina Kalinina vs Madison KeysMiami Round of 64

Miami · WTA · Round of 64
#66WTA
1827ELO
1743Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 21 March 2022
hard
#22WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$24MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
Kalinina A.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Keys M.
Kalinina A.
3662
Keys M.
6341

Anhelina Kalinina defeated Madison Keys 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Miami round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Madison Keys came in ranked #22, defending last year's round of 64. Anhelina Kalinina extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-24EastbourneR16grassMadison Keys7-6(5) 6-1
2023-05-08RomeR16clayAnhelina Kalinina2-6 6-2 6-4
2022-05-09RomeR64clayAnhelina Kalinina6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kalinina A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Keys M.

Keys M.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kalinina A.

Serve advantage — Keys M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kalinina A.Keys M.
Serve
36
Return
29

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
60%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.8
4.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
82
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
82
96
Break points won·Slight edge
97
90
Deciding sets·Even
97
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
58
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.0Hard Elo 1743
Surface ELO
7.0+177 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1827
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1987
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.0
Surface form
5.7
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.1
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
Country comfort
7.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
96
82

Kalinina A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Keys M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CMainly clear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw