Holger Rune vs Novak DjokovicRome Masters Quarter-final

Rome Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#81ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 May 2023
clay
#7ATP
2059ELO
1959Clay ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Rune H.
6-2 4-6 6-2
Djokovic N.
Rune H.
6462
Djokovic N.
2621

Holger Rune defeated Novak Djokovic 6-2 4-6 6-2 in the Rome Masters quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

14
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 6-2
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic7-6(4) 6-7(1) 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersFhardHolger Rune3-6 6-3 7-5
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardNovak Djokovic6-1 6-7(5) 6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
69%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.8
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 166). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
7.9+231 Clay Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 2059
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.8
Surface form
6.3
Fatigue & Travel
6.9
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Country comfort
7.3
Context
6.0
Defending pts
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Djokovic N.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%