Holger Rune vs Novak Djokovic — Paris Masters Final

Paris Masters · ATP · Final
Holger Rune
DEN
Holger Rune
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
Novak Djokovic
SRB6
Novak Djokovic
#7ATP
2059ELO
2022Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$193MCAREER
39 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Rune H.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Djokovic N.
Rune H.
3672
Djokovic N.
6351

Holger Rune defeated Novak Djokovic 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the Paris Masters final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Novak Djokovic came in ranked #7, leading the head-to-head 4–1, defending the title. Holger Rune narrowed the head-to-head to 4–2.

Key context

Head to head

1–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-01WimbledonR16grassNovak Djokovic6-3 6-4 6-2
2023-11-13Tour FinalsRRhardNovak Djokovic7-6(4) 6-7(1) 6-3
2023-10-30Paris MastersQFhardNovak Djokovic7-5 6-7(3) 6-4
2023-05-08Rome MastersQFclayHolger Rune6-2 4-6 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardNovak Djokovic6-1 6-7(5) 6-2 6-1
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Djokovic N.

Djokovic N.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve advantage — Djokovic N.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rune H.Djokovic N.
47
Serve
68
58
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Djokovic N.
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
56%
Service points won·Even
66%
70%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.8
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Djokovic N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
91
99
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Clear edge
84
99
Deciding sets·Even
98
100
Tiebreaks·Even
99
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Djokovic N.
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
1.5Hard Elo 1725
Surface ELO
8.5+297 Hard Elo edge
1.3Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
8.7Overall Elo 2059
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.9
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.09-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
7.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
Opponent rise
2.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Djokovic N.
Freshness·
—
62

Djokovic N.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4