Daria Kasatkina vs Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaMadrid Round of 64

Madrid · WTA · Round of 64
#65WTA
1795ELO
1770Clay ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#128WTA
1775ELO
1692Clay ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
Kasatkina D.
6-4 6-3
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Kasatkina D.
662
Pavlyuchenkova A.
430

Daria Kasatkina defeated Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-3 in the Madrid round of 64 on clay. The result followed the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #65, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 16. Daria Kasatkina extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR32clayDaria Kasatkina7-6(5) 7-5
2024-02-12DohaR64hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-2 7-6(2)
2021-02-13Phillip Island TrophyR16hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-1 6-4
2018-10-15MoscowQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2017-10-16MoscowR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(2) 6-1
2015-10-19MoscowSFhardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova2-6 6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kasatkina D.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Pavlyuchenkova A.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
54%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
3.3
Double faults / match·Even
4.7
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (184 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
85
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
87
Break points won·Slight edge
100
91
Deciding sets·Slight edge
93
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
47
86

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.9+78 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.1Clay Elo 1692
5.3Overall Elo 1795
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1775
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 5
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
89

Kasatkina D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%

Draw