Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs Daria KasatkinaMoscow Semi-final

Moscow · WTA · Semi-final
#400WTA
1775ELO
1742Hard ELO
35 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 October 2015
hard
#63WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWL
Pavlyuchenkova A.
2-6 6-2 6-4
Kasatkina D.
Pavlyuchenkova A.
2662
Kasatkina D.
6241

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova defeated Daria Kasatkina 2-6 6-2 6-4 in the Moscow semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Daria Kasatkina came in ranked #63, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-04-22MadridR32clayDaria Kasatkina7-6(5) 7-5
2024-02-12DohaR64hardAnastasia Pavlyuchenkova6-2 7-6(2)
2023-04-24MadridR64clayDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2021-02-13Phillip Island TrophyR16hardDaria Kasatkina2-6 6-1 6-4
2018-10-15MoscowQFhardDaria Kasatkina6-4 6-3
2017-10-16MoscowR32hardDaria Kasatkina7-6(2) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Pavlyuchenkova A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Kasatkina D.

Kasatkina D.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Pavlyuchenkova A.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Pavlyuchenkova A.Kasatkina D.
Serve
0
Return
95

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
70%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
41%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
44%
48%
Break points saved·Even
55%
54%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
4.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
85
78
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
80
Break points won·Slight edge
91
100
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
47

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Kasatkina D.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast