Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hugo Gaston — Banja Luka Round of 32

Banja Luka · ATP · Round of 32
Juan Pablo Varillas
PER
Juan Pablo Varillas
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 17 April 2023
clay
Hugo Gaston
FRA
Hugo Gaston
#107ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Varillas J.
7-5 6-3
Gaston H.
Varillas J.
762
Gaston H.
530

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Hugo Gaston 7-5 6-3 in the Banja Luka round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #107. Juan Pablo Varillas extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-02-20Rio de JaneiroR32clayJuan Pablo Varillas7-5 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Varillas J.Gaston H.
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Varillas J.Gaston H.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
91
Break points won·Clear edge
43
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Varillas J.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Gaston H.
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1431
Surface ELO
6.5+135 Clay Elo edge
2.8Overall Elo 1440
ELO gap
7.2Overall Elo 1622
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
6.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
6.9
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Varillas J.Gaston H.
Freshness·Slight edge
62
51

Varillas J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 84 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 2 days rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Final
Lajovic D.
Rublev A.[2]
6-34-66-4
Semi-finals
Lajovic D.
Kecmanovic M.[4]
4-67-656-4
Rublev A.[2]
Molcan A.
6-26-4
Quarter-finals
Rublev A.[2]
Dzumhur D.
7-56-3
Lajovic D.
Djokovic N.[1]
6-47-66
Kecmanovic M.[4]
Lehecka J.[6]
7-56-0
Molcan A.
Djere L.
6-24-67-5
R16
Kecmanovic M.[4]
Shelbayh A.
6-47-64
Lehecka J.[6]
Albot R.
6-06-2
Dzumhur D.
Gasquet R.[7]
6-41-67-63
Molcan A.
Popyrin A.
7-644-67-5
Djokovic N.[1]
Van Assche L.
6-746-36-2
Lajovic D.
Barrere G.[8]
6-36-0
Djere L.
Coric B.[3]
6-46-716-4
Rublev A.[2]
Varillas J.
6-26-2
R32
Albot R.
Coria F.
6-40-0
Djere L.
Safiullin R.
6-46-2
Gasquet R.[7]
Prizmic D.
6-36-1
Lajovic D.
Krajinovic F.
6-24-66-4
Molcan A.
Daniel T.
3-67-56-1
Popyrin A.
Griekspoor T.[5]
7-647-64
Lehecka J.[6]
Monfils G.
6-46-3
Dzumhur D.
Broady L.
6-36-0
Van Assche L.
Wawrinka S.
1-67-646-4
Barrere G.[8]
Medjedovic H.
7-667-5
Shelbayh A.
Ymer E.
6-17-5
Varillas J.
Gaston H.
7-56-3