Juan Pablo Varillas vs Hugo GastonRio de Janeiro Round of 32

Rio de Janeiro · ATP · Round of 32
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 February 2023
clay
#107ATP
1622ELO
1566Clay ELO
$355kYTD
$4.0MCAREER
25 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWL
Varillas J.
7-5 6-4
Gaston H.
Varillas J.
762
Gaston H.
54

Juan Pablo Varillas defeated Hugo Gaston 7-5 6-4 in the Rio de Janeiro round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Hugo Gaston came in ranked #107. Juan Pablo Varillas extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-17Banja LukaR32clayJuan Pablo Varillas7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Varillas J.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gaston H.

Gaston H.serving66% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
39%
Break points saved·Even
58%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
2.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (187 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
55
74
Break points saved·Slight edge
80
91
Break points won·Clear edge
43
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
63
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
72
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
55
44

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d) · Gaston H.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 128 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 80%