Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo MusettiMonte Carlo Masters Quarter-final

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2216Clay ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#15ATP
1869ELO
1853Clay ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Sinner J.
6-2 6-2
Musetti L.
Sinner J.
662
Musetti L.
220

Jannik Sinner defeated Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 6-2 in the Monte Carlo Masters quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-2
2021-10-18AntwerpR16hardJannik Sinner7-5 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Sinner J.Musetti L.
99
Serve
35
91
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
100
82
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.4+363 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.6Clay Elo 1853
9.6Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
9.3
Surface form
5.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.1
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
53

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 95 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%