Jannik Sinner vs Lorenzo MusettiAntwerp Round of 16

Antwerp · ATP · Round of 16
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 October 2021
hard
#15ATP
1869ELO
1804Hard ELO
$961kYTD
$15MCAREER
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Sinner J.
7-5 6-2
Musetti L.
Sinner J.
762
Musetti L.
520

Jannik Sinner defeated Lorenzo Musetti 7-5 6-2 in the Antwerp round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Jannik Sinner closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardJannik Sinner6-1 6-4 6-2
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersQFclayJannik Sinner6-2 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Musetti L.

Musetti L.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Musetti L.
100
Serve
54
100
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
89
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Clear edge
100
82
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.6+460 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.4Hard Elo 1804
9.6Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.4Overall Elo 1869
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.4
Surface form
2.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
9.1
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
60

Sinner J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
12°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 74%