Nicolas Jarry vs Alexei PopyrinMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#211ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 10 April 2023
clay
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Jarry N.
3-6 7-5 6-4
Popyrin A.
Jarry N.
3762
Popyrin A.
6541

Nicolas Jarry defeated Alexei Popyrin 3-6 7-5 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexei Popyrin came in ranked #103, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Nicolas Jarry had been the form player, winning 4 of their last 6 on clay. Nicolas Jarry narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaR32clayAlexei Popyrin6-4 3-6 7-5
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR64clayAlexei Popyrin6-3 7-6(5)
2023-10-30Paris MastersR64hardNicolas Jarry7-5 7-6(6)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
67%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
66%
Aces / match·Even
9.5
9.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 171). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
48
59
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
4
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
75
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
79
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
5.9+85 Clay Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1741
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.0
Surface form
6.1
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
8.5
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Popyrin A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%