Frances Tiafoe vs Jason KublerHouston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 3 April 2023
clay
#465ATP
1685ELO
1616Clay ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
Tiafoe F.
6-4 6-4
Kubler J.
Tiafoe F.
662
Kubler J.
440

Frances Tiafoe defeated Jason Kubler 6-4 6-4 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Frances Tiafoe edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(4) 6-3 6-2
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(3) 7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Kubler J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
8.0
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Slight edge
57
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+212 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Clay Elo 1616
7.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1685
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.6
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast