Frances Tiafoe vs Jason KublerIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#465ATP
1685ELO
1635Hard ELO
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
Tiafoe F.
6-3 6-2
Kubler J.
Tiafoe F.
662
Kubler J.
320

Frances Tiafoe defeated Jason Kubler 6-3 6-2 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR128hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(4) 6-3 6-2
2023-04-03HoustonQFclayFrances Tiafoe6-4 6-4
2022-08-29US OpenR64hardFrances Tiafoe7-6(3) 7-5 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kubler J.

Kubler J.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.Kubler J.
38
Serve
37
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
8.0
6.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 86). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
90
Break points won·Slight edge
57
46
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
79
Tiebreaks·Dominant
98
37

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+226 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Hard Elo 1635
7.5Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
2.5Overall Elo 1685
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.1
Minutes 14d
8.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
76

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%