Cristian Garin vs Sebastian BaezMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#141ATP
1667ELO
1572Hard ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 20 March 2023
hard
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Garin C.
7-6 6-3
Baez S.
Garin C.
7762
Baez S.
6230

Cristian Garin defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 128. Cristian Garin claimed a first win over Sebastian Baez in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

03
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez7-6(2) 1-6 7-5
2023-02-27SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez6-4 6-3
2022-01-31CordobaR16claySebastian Baez4-6 6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Garin C.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Garin C.Baez S.
Serve
5
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
69%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
61%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
87
Break points saved·Even
94
96
Break points won·Dominant
45
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
88
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
6.5+137 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1667
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.3
Surface form
2.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.4
Minutes 14d
8.7
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 73%