Sebastian Baez vs Cristian GarinSantiago Round of 16

Santiago · ATP · Round of 16
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
clay
#141ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Baez S.
6-4 6-3
Garin C.
Baez S.
662
Garin C.
430

Sebastian Baez defeated Cristian Garin 6-4 6-3 in the Santiago round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Sebastian Baez came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's final. Sebastian Baez extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23SantiagoR16claySebastian Baez7-6(2) 1-6 7-5
2023-03-20Miami MastersR64hardCristian Garin7-6(2) 6-3
2022-01-31CordobaR16claySebastian Baez4-6 6-1 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Baez S.serving68% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Garin C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Baez S.Garin C.
1
Serve
44
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 198). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
87
63
Break points saved·Even
96
94
Break points won·Dominant
86
45
Deciding sets·Slight edge
88
83
Tiebreaks·Dominant
83
43

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+59 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1659
5.8Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1667
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.1
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
96

Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 17%