Jannik Sinner vs Adrian MannarinoIndian Wells Masters Round of 32

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Sinner J.
7-6 6-4
Mannarino A.
Sinner J.
7962
Mannarino A.
6740

Jannik Sinner defeated Adrian Mannarino 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 16. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(4)
2022-08-08Canada MastersR32hardJannik Sinner2-6 6-4 6-2
2020-11-09SofiaSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Mannarino A.
100
Serve
38
100
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.4
4.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
65
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
100
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+616 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1647
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1673
10.0
H2H
0.0
7.3
Surface form
4.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.4
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
6.5
Country comfort
5.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
80

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%