Jannik Sinner vs Adrian MannarinoCanada Masters Round of 32

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 8 August 2022
hard
#49ATP
1673ELO
1647Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$15MCAREER
38 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLWLWW
Sinner J.
2-6 6-4 6-2
Mannarino A.
Sinner J.
2662
Mannarino A.
6421

Jannik Sinner defeated Adrian Mannarino 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the Canada Masters round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 32. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-07Cincinnati MastersR16hardJannik Sinner6-4 7-6(4)
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardJannik Sinner7-6(7) 6-4
2020-11-09SofiaSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Mannarino A.

Mannarino A.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve advantage — Sinner J.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Mannarino A.
100
Serve
38
100
Return
33

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
58%
51%
Service points won·Slight edge
71%
62%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Clear edge
74%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.4
4.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
100
65
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Dominant
100
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
72
Tiebreaks·Dominant
100
38

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.8
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+616 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Hard Elo 1647
10.0Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1673
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.9
Surface form
5.2
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.2
Minutes 14d
2.3
7.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
80

Sinner J.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 72%