Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Kaia KanepiIndian Wells Round of 128

Indian Wells · WTA · Round of 128
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
41 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
Sasnovich A.
6-3 7-6
Kanepi K.
Sasnovich A.
6772
Kanepi K.
3650

Aliaksandra Sasnovich defeated Kaia Kanepi 6-3 7-6 in the Indian Wells round of 128 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Kaia Kanepi came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 32. Aliaksandra Sasnovich claimed a first win over Kaia Kanepi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R32hardKaia Kanepi4-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sasnovich A.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kanepi K.

Kanepi K.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Serve advantage — Sasnovich A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sasnovich A.Kanepi K.
37
Serve
35
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
44%
46%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
45%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
39
Break points saved·Slight edge
79
69
Break points won·Clear edge
93
70
Deciding sets·Clear edge
72
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
25
15

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
3.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.7
Country comfort
5.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sasnovich A.: 17 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%

Draw