Kaia Kanepi vs Aliaksandra SasnovichAdelaide 1 Round of 32

Adelaide 1 · WTA · Round of 32
41 yrs · 181 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#122WTA
1726ELO
1697Hard ELO
32 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLW
Kanepi K.
4-6 6-1 6-4
Sasnovich A.
Kanepi K.
4662
Sasnovich A.
6141

Kaia Kanepi defeated Aliaksandra Sasnovich 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the Adelaide 1 round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Aliaksandra Sasnovich came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Kaia Kanepi claimed a first win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-06Indian WellsR128hardAliaksandra Sasnovich6-3 7-6(5)

Serve vs return

This season
Kanepi K.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Sasnovich A.

Sasnovich A.serving77% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kanepi K.

Serve advantage — Sasnovich A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kanepi K.Sasnovich A.
Serve
37
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
57%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 186). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
39
61
Break points saved·Slight edge
69
79
Break points won·Clear edge
70
93
Deciding sets·Clear edge
57
72
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
15
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 77 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.4
Surface form
5.0
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Sasnovich A.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast