Andrey Rublev vs Botic Van De ZandschulpDubai Quarter-final

Dubai · ATP · Quarter-final
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Rublev A.
6-3 7-6
Van De Zandschulp B.
Rublev A.
6772
Van De Zandschulp B.
3630

Andrey Rublev defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 7-6 in the Dubai quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16, defending the title. Andrey Rublev narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–6.

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-3
2021-10-25St. PetersburgQFcarpetBotic Van De Zandschulp6-3 6-4
2017-02-13RotterdamQ1hardBotic Van De Zandschulp1-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Van De Zandschulp B.
55
Serve
41
52
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.9
5.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (199 vs 196). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
77
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Even
72
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
79
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
92
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+138 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Hard Elo 1711
6.5Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.2
Surface form
4.9
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Minutes 14d
6.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
91

Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%