Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Andrey RublevRotterdam Qualifying Round 1

Rotterdam · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2017
hard
#16ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Van De Zandschulp B.
1-6 6-4 6-3
Rublev A.
Van De Zandschulp B.
1662
Rublev A.
6431

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Andrey Rublev 1-6 6-4 6-3 in the Rotterdam qualifying round 1 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #16. Botic Van De Zandschulp extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-30Paris MastersR16hardAndrey Rublev6-3 6-3
2023-02-27DubaiQFhardAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(3)
2021-10-25St. PetersburgQFcarpetBotic Van De Zandschulp6-3 6-4
2017-02-13RotterdamQ1hardBotic Van De Zandschulp1-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Rublev A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Rublev A.
41
Serve
55
43
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
77
89
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Even
68
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
97
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
100

Van De Zandschulp B.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast