Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Karen KhachanovDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#55ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#26ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-5 6-2
Khachanov K.
Van De Zandschulp B.
762
Khachanov K.
520

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Karen Khachanov 7-5 6-2 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Karen Khachanov came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Botic Van De Zandschulp claimed a first win over Karen Khachanov in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-10Rome MastersR32clayKaren Khachanov5-7 6-4 6-4
2021-02-01Great Ocean Road OpenQFhardKaren Khachanov6-7(6) 7-5 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Van De Zandschulp B.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Serve advantage — Khachanov K.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Van De Zandschulp B.Khachanov K.
41
Serve
61
43
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.6
7.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (196 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
77
86
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Clear edge
68
81
Deciding sets·Even
79
83
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
81
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 42 days (−1.0)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1711
Surface ELO
5.8+72 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1743
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1828
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.9
Surface form
7.9
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
91
83

Van De Zandschulp B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 21%