Nicolas Jarry vs Juan Pablo VarillasSantiago Round of 32

Santiago · ATP · Round of 32
#764ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
clay
#279ATP
1440ELO
1431Clay ELO
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLLL
Jarry N.
7-6 6-4
Varillas J.
Jarry N.
7762
Varillas J.
6140

Nicolas Jarry defeated Juan Pablo Varillas 7-6 6-4 in the Santiago round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Juan Pablo Varillas came in ranked #279, defending last year's round of 32. Nicolas Jarry extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-03Davis Cup QLS R1: CHI vs PERRRhardNicolas Jarry6-2 6-4
2022-09-17Davis Cup WG1 R1: CHI vs PERRRclayJuan Pablo Varillas7-6(3) 1-6 6-4
2022-05-23Roland GarrosQ3clayJuan Pablo Varillas5-7 6-4 7-6(5)
2015-03-06Davis Cup G2 R1: CHI vs PERRRclayNicolas Jarry6-2 6-2 3-6 7-6(3)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Varillas J.

Varillas J.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.5
3.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 187). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
48
55
Break points saved·Clear edge
98
80
Break points won·Dominant
4
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
57
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
79
72

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+211 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1431
7.2Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
2.8Overall Elo 1440
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
6.9
0.0
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
3.9
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
55

Varillas J.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 17%