Nicolas Jarry vs Yannick HanfmannSantiago Quarter-final

Santiago · ATP · Quarter-final
#211ATP
1648ELO
1642Clay ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
clay
#56ATP
1781ELO
1741Clay ELO
$596kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWLL
Jarry N.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Hanfmann Y.
Jarry N.
3662
Hanfmann Y.
6341

Nicolas Jarry defeated Yannick Hanfmann 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Santiago quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Yannick Hanfmann came in ranked #56, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending last year's quarter-final. Nicolas Jarry narrowed the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

13
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-16HalleQ2grassYannick Hanfmann6-3 6-3
2024-02-19Rio de JaneiroR32clayYannick Hanfmann6-1 1-6 7-5
2023-05-08Rome MastersR128clayYannick Hanfmann6-4 6-4
2022-07-18GstaadR16clayNicolas Jarry7-6(5) 7-6(2)

Serve vs return

This season
Jarry N.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Hanfmann Y.

Hanfmann Y.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Jarry N.Hanfmann Y.
Serve
61
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
67%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.5
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (154 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
48
61
Break points saved·Even
98
95
Break points won·Clear edge
4
26
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
94
Tiebreaks·Dominant
79
42

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1642
Surface ELO
6.3+100 Clay Elo edge
3.3Overall Elo 1648
ELO gap
6.7Overall Elo 1781
10.0
H2H
0.0
5.7
Surface form
6.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.9
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
91

Hanfmann Y.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 17%