Marta Kostyuk vs Varvara GrachevaAustin Final

Austin · WTA · Final
#11WTA
2057ELO
1968Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$9.1MCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 February 2023
hard
#95WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
Kostyuk M.
6-3 7-5
Gracheva V.
Kostyuk M.
672
Gracheva V.
350

Marta Kostyuk defeated Varvara Gracheva 6-3 7-5 in the Austin final on hard. The result followed the form book — Marta Kostyuk came in ranked #11. Marta Kostyuk extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Marta Kostyuk closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2021-08-23Chicago 1QFhardVarvara Gracheva6-7(4) 6-3 6-4
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayMarta Kostyuk6-1 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Kostyuk M.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Kostyuk M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kostyuk M.Gracheva V.
53
Serve
3
57
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (163 vs 192). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
92
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
93
76
Break points won·Slight edge
98
87
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+204 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1763
7.8Overall Elo 2057
ELO gap
2.2Overall Elo 1810
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.8
Surface form
4.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
7.2
4.0
3-set count
4.0
4.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
73

Kostyuk M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast