Mackenzie Mcdonald vs Yoshihito NishiokaDelray Beach Round of 16

Delray Beach · ATP · Round of 16
#145ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 February 2023
hard
#176ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
Mcdonald M.
6-3 3-6 6-2
Nishioka Y.
Mcdonald M.
6362
Nishioka Y.
3621

Mackenzie Mcdonald defeated Yoshihito Nishioka 6-3 3-6 6-2 in the Delray Beach round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Yoshihito Nishioka came in leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 32. Mackenzie Mcdonald narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22AtlantaR16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-4
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardYoshihito Nishioka7-6(6) 6-3 6-2
2023-01-02Adelaide 1R16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-4 6-3
2021-10-18MoscowR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayYoshihito Nishioka6-7(7) 6-0 4-6 6-2 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilR32clayYoshihito Nishioka6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Nishioka Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mcdonald M.Nishioka Y.
25
Serve
10
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Even
38%
37%
Break points saved·Even
61%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
2.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 142). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
56
84
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
66
59
Deciding sets·Dominant
45
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
44
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1604
Surface ELO
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1606
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1689
2.8
H2H
7.2
6.1
Surface form
7.1
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.8
Minutes 14d
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Mcdonald M.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast