Yoshihito Nishioka vs Mackenzie McdonaldAdelaide 1 Round of 16

Adelaide 1 · ATP · Round of 16
#177ATP
1689ELO
1659Hard ELO
$42kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
30 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 January 2023
hard
#140ATP
1606ELO
1604Hard ELO
$240kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWLLW
Nishioka Y.
6-4 6-3
Mcdonald M.
Nishioka Y.
662
Mcdonald M.
430

Yoshihito Nishioka defeated Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-3 in the Adelaide 1 round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Yoshihito Nishioka came in leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Yoshihito Nishioka extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-22AtlantaR16hardYoshihito Nishioka6-3 6-4
2023-02-13Delray BeachR16hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 3-6 6-2
2023-01-16Australian OpenR32hardYoshihito Nishioka7-6(6) 6-3 6-2
2021-10-18MoscowR32hardMackenzie Mcdonald6-3 6-4
2019-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayYoshihito Nishioka6-7(7) 6-0 4-6 6-2 6-3
2019-04-29EstorilR32clayYoshihito Nishioka6-2 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Nishioka Y.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Mcdonald M.

Mcdonald M.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Nishioka Y.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Nishioka Y.Mcdonald M.
Serve
25
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
62%
63%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.6
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (142 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
84
56
Break points saved·Even
95
96
Break points won·Slight edge
59
66
Deciding sets·Dominant
98
45
Tiebreaks·Dominant
97
44

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
5.5+55 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1604
5.6Overall Elo 1689
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1606
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
92

Mcdonald M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 16 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast